- The Rockies are -120 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Rockies starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Oakland Athletics (+100) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Saturday, July 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Rockies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Athletics vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 29-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 50-53 ATS.
Athletics vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -175 | O 12 -105 | +100 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +145 | U 12 -115 | -120 |
Athletics vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+10.60 Units / 62% ROI)
Rockies vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rockies vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Seth Brown | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Rockies vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+16.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 44 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 away games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+15.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 50% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 51-54 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.79% ROI).
- 29-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.45 Units / -25.15% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -10.44% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 50-53 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -5.52% ROI).
- 40-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.46% ROI
- 43-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.9 Units / -20.04% ROI
- 60-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 12.08% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (3/41) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (15/87) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn had a strike rate of just 56% (55/99) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (22/101) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (128/456) versus Lucas Giolito in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1957.7 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 2400.2 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Athletics are just 29-75 (.279) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Athletics are just 17-58 (.227) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Athletics are just 27-63 (.300) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rockies are just 52-46 (.531) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Rockies are just 26-11 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Rockies are just 72-35 (.673) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 37% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (4,867 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .218 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 50% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (426.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.07 runs per game (637/105) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.85 (924.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rockies have allowed 6.66 runs per game (333/50) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
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