Athletics vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 06, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Royals are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-175) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Royals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Athletics are 7-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 11-22 ATS.

Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -130O 10.5 -105+145
Royals -1.5 +105U 10.5 -115-175

Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+8.15 Units / 163% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)

Royals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +1450 0.5
Tony Kemp 0.5 +1100 0.5
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Royals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Tony Kemp 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +135 1.5 -185
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Brent Rooker 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Royals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Tony Kemp 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Royals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ken Waldichuk 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
Brady Singer 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 11 away games (+11.60 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 14-19 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -19.59% ROI).

  • 7-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -44.63% ROI
  • 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 23.68% ROI
  • 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -32.45% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 11-22 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -36.01% ROI).

  • 8-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -41.28% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -13.19% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Ken Waldichuk — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (24 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Ken Waldichuk’s changeup this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.144 (33 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .739 — third Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (27/42) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (16/24) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 87% (13/15) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (57/92) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Athletics are just 57-8 (.877) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Athletics are just 5-7 (.417) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Athletics are just 2-5 (.286) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Athletics are just 6-20 (.231) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

The Royals are just 2-15 (.118) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Royals are just 8-21 (.276) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,258 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,551 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Athletics are batting just .147 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 8% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (886 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (620 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Royals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 169 of 1,372 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.39 (291.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have walked 19 of 111 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals pitchers have walked 711 of 7,533 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Aledmys Díaz (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Adrián Martínez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
  • Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.