- The Royals are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-175) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Royals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 7-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 11-22 ATS.
Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 10.5 -105 | +145 |
Royals | -1.5 +105 | U 10.5 -115 | -175 |
Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+8.15 Units / 163% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
Royals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Allen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Tony Kemp | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brent Rooker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Allen | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Tony Kemp | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Brady Singer | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 11 away games (+11.60 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 14-19 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -19.59% ROI).
- 7-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -44.63% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 23.68% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -32.45% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 11-22 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -36.01% ROI).
- 8-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -41.28% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.69% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -13.19% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Ken Waldichuk — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (24 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Ken Waldichuk’s changeup this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.144 (33 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .739 — third Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (27/42) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (16/24) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 87% (13/15) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (57/92) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 57-8 (.877) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Athletics are just 5-7 (.417) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Athletics are just 2-5 (.286) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Athletics are just 6-20 (.231) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Royals are just 2-15 (.118) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Royals are just 8-21 (.276) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,258 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,551 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .147 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 8% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (886 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (620 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Royals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 169 of 1,372 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.39 (291.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 19 of 111 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 711 of 7,533 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Aledmys DÃaz (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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