- The Athletics are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mason Miller
- Royals starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Oakland Athletics (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Athletics are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Athletics vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 8-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 11-23 ATS.
Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +135 | O 10 -105 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 10 -115 | -105 |
Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+8.35 Units / 167% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
Royals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 12 away games (+12.65 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 15-19 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -16.44% ROI).
- 8-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -38.91% ROI
- 21-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 19.79% ROI
- 12-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -28.84% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 11-23 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -37.58% ROI).
- 8-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.5 Units / -44.03% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -10.14% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Mason Miller’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 26% (190/739) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (8/36) against Mason Miller this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 40% (793/1,988) against Joe Musgrove in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough has a strikeout rate of just 30% (73 SO in 245 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has a strikeout rate of just 22% (12 SO in 55 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has allowed an OPS of 1.512 (19 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .731 — second Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has allowed an OBP of .318 (245 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .850.
The Athletics are just 6-12 (.333) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .546.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 2-16 (.111) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Royals are just 6-5 (.545) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,551 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,295 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,295 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (896 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Royals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals hitters have just 719 strikeouts in 3,634 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 179 of 1,418 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.29 (300.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.73 (134.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
The Athletics have allowed 7.53 runs per game (256/34) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 19 of 111 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 31 of 298 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Aledmys DÃaz (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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