- The Tigers are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-175) on Tuesday, July 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 23-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-39 ATS.
Athletics vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +145 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -175 |
Athletics vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 19 away games (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Tigers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Tarik Skubal | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 72 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-46 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -8.81% ROI).
- 23-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -26.7% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -10.67% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-39 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.44% ROI).
- 37-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 7.61% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -16.55% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (15/126) against JP Sears on breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (66/243) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (118/229) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (47/188) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal’s highest spin rate on sliders since last season is 3410.0 RPM — 8th most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 2845.3
Tarik Skubal has averaged 89.1 MPH on sliders since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (53/104) against Tarik Skubal on sliders since last season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 90th Percentile.
61% of Tarik Skubal’s called strikeouts are inside since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Athletics are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 12-5 (.706) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Athletics are just 63-13 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Athletics are just 13-49 (.210) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Tigers are just 41-52 (.441) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Tigers are 13-5 (.722) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Tigers are just 26-39 (.400) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are just 6-10 (.375) after a road win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,505 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,727 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,794 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,025 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (6,794 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (2,827 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 379 of 3,447 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.97 (350.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.07 (758.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 238 of 3,139 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have 310 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Tigers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Reese Olson (Tigers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Undisclosed, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel RÃos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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