Athletics vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 05, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Tigers are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-225) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Athletics vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Athletics are 24-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-40 ATS.

Athletics vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -105O 8.5 -115+180
Tigers -1.5 -115U 8.5 -105-225

Athletics vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 82.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Tigers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Eric Haase 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Nick Allen 0.5 +1250 0.5
Javier Baez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Tigers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Eric Haase 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Nick Allen 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Javier Baez 1.5 +195 1.5 -275

Tigers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Eric Haase 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Nick Allen 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Javier Baez 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Tigers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+14.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 73 games (+8.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 41-46 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -7.67% ROI).

  • 24-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.45 Units / -24.61% ROI
  • 44-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.62% ROI
  • 39-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -9.48% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-40 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.39% ROI).

  • 37-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 4.25% ROI
  • 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 6.4% ROI
  • 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -15.24% ROI

Opponents are hitting .440 (22-for-50) against Ken Waldichuk’s changeup this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.

11 of Ken Waldichuk’s 31 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .455 (99 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 0 Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .410 (322 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .315 — second Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (6 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn had a strikeout rate of 42% (55/131) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .441 (99 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .765 — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Athletics are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Athletics are just 14-49 (.222) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Athletics are just 12-5 (.706) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Athletics are just 63-13 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Tigers are just 17-99 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Tigers are 13-5 (.722) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.

The Tigers are just 6-10 (.375) after a road win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Tigers are just 26-16 (.619) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,744 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Athletics are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,505 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (6,805 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,805 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,036 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (360.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (768.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Tigers pitchers have walked 239 of 3,173 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .263 against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Tigers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
  • William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
  • Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.