- The – are favorites vs the –
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Oakland Athletics () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, July 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Athletics vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 25-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-41 ATS.
Athletics vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Athletics vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 69.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+11.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Vierling | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -190 |
Tigers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games (+5.25 Units / 6% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-46 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 25-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -22.23% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.64% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -10.61% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-41 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -2.42% ROI).
- 37-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.66% ROI
- 47-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 7.39% ROI
- 36-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -16.34% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hogan Harris has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (81/162) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Hogan Harris has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (81/162) this season — 5th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (43/239) against Hogan Harris this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (50/285) against Hogan Harris this season — 5th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (37/246) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 24 of 185 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 2 of 142 right-handed batters (1%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Athletics are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Athletics are just 68-8 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 14-49 (.222) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Athletics are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Tigers are just 17-100 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 26-40 (.394) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Tigers are just 8-12 (.400) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Tigers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,150 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (6,817 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .341 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,817 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,048 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 385 of 3,518 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 50% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 240 of 3,215 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel RÃos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
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