- Highlighting the top MLB player prop bets for Thursday’s Mets vs Brewers game
- Plus profitable player prop betting trends for key players across home runs, strikeouts, hits & RBIs
- Up-to-date player prop odds and totals for both teams
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
Below you can find profitable historical betting trends for various Brewers and Mets player prop bets, ranked by units won and ROI.
All MLB player prop betting odds are provided by the BetMGM Sportsbook.
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games at home (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
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Mets vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mets vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ashby | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Starting pitcher stats to consider when making your prop bet
Aaron Ashby: (1-5), 3.90 ERA
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (79/113) against Aaron Ashby this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (89/138) against Aaron Ashby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (14/113) against Aaron Ashby this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (39/62) against Aaron Ashby in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Tylor Megill (Mets): Starting pitcher stats to consider when making your prop bet
Tylor Megill (4-2), 4.50 ERA
Tylor Megill has allowed an OPS of .928 (274 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .701 — second Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (137 Total Bases / 246 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .395 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .305 (75-for-246) against Tylor Megill since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Brewers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
What is an MLB Prop Bet?
MLB player prop bets allow bettors to bet online on very specific aspects of a game involving a player outcome. You might choose to bet on how many hits your favorite player will record or whether or not a game will go to extra innings.
In contrast, traditional straight bets often allow bettors to take a position on games in ways that are commonly mentioned by gambling media and analysts. Generally speaking, they are bets on the overall outcome of a game.
Exploring the MLB props page at your favorite online sportsbook is the best way to discover all the different types of props.
What is the Most Popular MLB Player Prop Bet?
The top 10 most popular MLB player prop bet types are:
1. Over/Under Home Runs by a player
2. How many strikeouts by a pitcher
3. Over/Under Hits by a player
4. Over/Under RBIs by a player
5. How many outs with the starting pitcher record?
6. How many total runs will a player record?
7. Over/Under Doubles by a player
8. Over/Under Singles by a player
9. How many stolen bases with a player record?
10. How many total bases will a player record?
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