• The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on August 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 53-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 58-56 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 5-5, 3.75 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 1-0, 4.77 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+19.80 Units / 283% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 54-58 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -6.31% ROI).

• 53-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -12.83% ROI
• 54-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -5.91% ROI
• 56-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -2.38% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 58-56 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.05% ROI).

• 58-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1.26% ROI
• 60-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 4.93% ROI
• 48-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -14.34% ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Blue Jays are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Astros are just 19-27 (.413) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (15th runs allowed).

The Astros are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 43-3 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,144 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 136 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters are slugging .416 this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 135 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .430 with bases empty this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,743 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,743 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Astros pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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