Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

Houston Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena pops out during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the New York Mets Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+150) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-185) on August 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 53-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 59-56 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 2-6, 5.93 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 3-1, 3.42 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -140O 8 -105+150
Astros -1.5 +115U 8 -115-185

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+18.80 Units / 235% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 away games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 54-59 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -7.38% ROI).

  • 53-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -13.44% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -5.06% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -3.27% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 59-56 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.1% ROI).

  • 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.49% ROI
  • 61-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 5.67% ROI
  • 48-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -15.12% ROI

Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +200
Christian Walker +333
Kazuma Okamoto +340
Isaac Paredes +350
Jeremy Pena +360

Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
George Springer 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
George Springer 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Cam Smith 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 5-43 (.104) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 5-43 (.104) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Astros are just 19-27 (.413) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (15th runs allowed).

The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 44-3 (.936) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 33-21 (.611) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (30th in runs scored).

The Blue Jays are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,147 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Astros have scored 233 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .614 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 137 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,770 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,770 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 189 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have 143 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.