Blue Jays vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Toronto Blue Jays (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Blue Jays vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 76-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 67-70 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -110O 8 -110-190
Athletics +1.5 -110U 8 -110+155

Blue Jays vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 94% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Carlos Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)

Athletics vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +1450 0.5
Davis Schneider 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Lawrence Butler 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Ernie Clement 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Athletics vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Davis Schneider 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Lawrence Butler 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Ernie Clement 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Athletics vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +400 0.5 -650
Davis Schneider 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Lawrence Butler 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Ernie Clement 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Athletics vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Bassitt 6.5 +115 6.5 -150
Ken Waldichuk 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 113 games (+13.64 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.99 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 47 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 away games (+3.64 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 124 games (+17.68 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 78 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 77 games (+4.82 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 65-73 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -5.47% ROI).

  • 76-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -5.18% ROI
  • 59-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.25 Units / -13.55% ROI
  • 73-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 5.03% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 67-70 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • 41-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -30 Units / -21.94% ROI
  • 72-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 3.87% ROI
  • 59-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.55 Units / -13.1% ROI

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .312 SLG vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .518 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .160 (17-for-106) against Chris Bassitt’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (40/202) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (261/1,242) against Chris Bassitt this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 15th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ken Waldichuk has allowed three-ball counts to 20% of batters they faced (106/532 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 11% — second Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has walked 64 of 529 batters (12%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .367 (532 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .307 — second Percentile.

Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of .855 (675 PA’s) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .713 — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Blue Jays are 65-97 (.401) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Blue Jays are 69-27 (.719) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Blue Jays are just 8-44 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

The Athletics are just 24-70 (.255) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Athletics are just 79-59 (.572) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Athletics are just 30-23 (.566) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Blue Jays are batting .270 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .328 (9,078 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,404 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Athletics are batting just .220 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 180 of 2,692 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 837 of 11,272 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.35 (575.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.

The Athletics have allowed 6.17 runs per game (426/69) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.

Athletics pitchers have walked 585 of 5,458 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Athletics vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
  • Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
  • Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, D10
  • Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.