- The Blue Jays (39-30) are -150 favorites vs the Brewers (40-32)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (8-2), 2.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (4-7), 4.23 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Toronto Blue Jays (-150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+125) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Blue Jays vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 39-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 31-41 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -150 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +125 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+12.55 Units / 67% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 away games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 28 games (+15.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 30-39 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -14.64% ROI).
- 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.33% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -10.68% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-41 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -12.82% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.99% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .414 (155 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .181 (155 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .144 (21-for-146) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .144 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .268 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 18th Percentile.
Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has walked 18 of 114 batters (16%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .289 (35-for-121) against Adrian Houser this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 56% (167/298) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Adrian Houser has walked 15 of 161 right-handed batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Blue Jays are 31-9 (.775) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Blue Jays are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Brewers are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Brewers are 55-10 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Brewers are 66-23 (.742) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,080 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .380 (259 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Brewers hitters have drawn 226 walks in 2,308 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 178 of 2,577 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 651 of 8,493 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
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