- The Brewers (40-33) are -200 favorites vs the Blue Jays (40-30)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (2-3), 4.93 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (5-4), 2.31 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Toronto Blue Jays (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Blue Jays vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 40-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 31-42 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -125 | O 7.5 +100 | +165 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -120 | -200 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 away games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 85% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +100 |
| Corbin Burnes | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-39 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -13.12% ROI).
- 40-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -11.95% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-42 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -14.18% ROI).
- 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.88% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.33% ROI
Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 30 of 192 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 34 of 244 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (12/18) against Yusei Kikuchi — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .464 (52-for-112) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 0 Percentile.
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (45/99) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (75/106) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (223/400) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 70% of the time (74/106) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Blue Jays are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Blue Jays are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Blue Jays are 19-16 (.543) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Brewers are 3-26 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Brewers are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Blue Jays hitters have not struck out in 13 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 183 of 2,616 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 119 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 656 of 8,532 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8 of 56 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Right UCL, D15
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
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