Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 25

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (40-33) are -200 favorites vs the Blue Jays (40-30)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (2-3), 4.93 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (5-4), 2.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Toronto Blue Jays (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Blue Jays vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 40-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 31-42 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -125O 7.5 +100+165
Brewers -1.5 +105U 7.5 -120-200

Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 away games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Christian Yelich 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Keston Hiura 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luis Urias 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Mike Brosseau 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Christian Yelich 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Keston Hiura 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Luis Urias 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Mike Brosseau 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Brewers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Keston Hiura 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Luis Urias 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Mike Brosseau 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi 5.5 -145 5.5 +100
Corbin Burnes 8.5 +100 8.5 -140
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-39 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -13.12% ROI).

  • 40-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 37-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 1.62% ROI
  • 32-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -11.95% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-42 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -14.18% ROI).

  • 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -5.19% ROI
  • 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.88% ROI
  • 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.33% ROI

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 30 of 192 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 34 of 244 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (12/18) against Yusei Kikuchi — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .464 (52-for-112) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 0 Percentile.

Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (45/99) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (75/106) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (223/400) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 70% of the time (74/106) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.600) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Blue Jays are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Blue Jays are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Blue Jays are 19-16 (.543) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Brewers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Brewers are 3-26 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Brewers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Brewers are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays hitters have not struck out in 13 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 183 of 2,616 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 119 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 656 of 8,532 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8 of 56 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Right UCL, D15
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.