- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Cardinals Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 2-0 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 12 -650 | -105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 12 +450 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bassitt | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 away games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 85 games at home (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games at home (+8.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 62.5% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 2.38% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.3 MPH on the 192 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.2.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (95/522) against Chris Bassitt since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesin 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery had a strike rate of just 62% (531/850) in two strike counts in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 71% (366/513) of opposing batters in 2022 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of 47% (900/1,902) against Jordan Montgomery in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays were 78-5 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 28-12 (.700) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (9,431 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .765 (6,247 PA’s) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 271 times in 1,366 PA’s (20%) against LHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 157 double plays in 1,209 opportunities (13%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Giovanny Gallegos (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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