- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah, – ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas, – ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 15-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 14-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -185 |
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 13-12 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 5.55% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 9.25% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 11.01% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 14-10 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 22.78% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 21.7% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -32.06% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 22.33% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed an OBP of just .211 (346 PA’s) against right-handed batters last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (295/1,579) against Miles Mikolas last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 21% (172/828) against Miles Mikolas last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (102/627) against Miles Mikolas last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season (133 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 45-36 (.556) on the road last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 68-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 10-57 (.149) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters slugged .465 against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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