Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

Chicago Cubs' Ian Happ watches his grand slam off Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller during the fifth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
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  • The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on June 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 28-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-4, 3.38 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 3-2, 1.78 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -210O 7.5 -125+105
Cubs -1.5 +170U 7.5 +105-125

Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+20.20 Units / 253% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-36 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.26% ROI).

  • 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -8.48% ROI
  • 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -4.07% ROI
  • 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -4.23% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 28-47 against the Run Line (-21.2 Units / -23.97% ROI).

  • 39-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -7.05% ROI
  • 38-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.27% ROI
  • 36-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -6.48% ROI

Cubs vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +350
Ian Happ +390
Kazuma Okamoto +425
Mike Busch +425
Seiya Suzuki +450

Cubs vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ernie Clement 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
George Springer 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Alex Bregman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yohendrick Pinango 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Blue Jays are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Blue Jays are 20-79 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 17-82 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cubs are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

The Cubs are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Cubs are 29-2 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Cubs are 23-15 (.605) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .296 (779 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 47% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .344 (812 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,932 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,472 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,797 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,797 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (308.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 13 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have allowed 110 home runs this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.