Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll plays during the first inning of a baseball game, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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  • The Blue Jays are +110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Blue Jays are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 16-4 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-2, 9.59 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.66 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +160O 9 -118+110
Diamondbacks +1.5 -210U 9 -102-130

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Max Scherzer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games at home (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.15 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+12.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-14 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -46.61% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -37.31% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -9.38% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 16-4 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 35.59% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 28.54% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 19.82% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -27.06% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ketel Marte +340
Corbin Carroll +390
Daulton Varsho +400
Adrian Del Castillo +500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +525

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ketel Marte 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jorge Barrosa 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays are 76-5 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Diamondbacks are 3-3 (.500) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Diamondbacks are just 69-20 (.775) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .270 against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 49% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 3-3 (.500) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.