- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Monday, July 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 55-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 54-44 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -115 | +100 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -105 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+15.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.75 Units / 98% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jose Berrios | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 94 games (+19.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+16.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -9.01% ROI).
- 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -5.28% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 4.12% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-44 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 11.01% ROI).
- 57-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -3.4% ROI
- 57-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.5 Units / 16.2% ROI
- 36-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.1 Units / -24.22% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .210 against Jose Berrios vs right-handed batters this season — tied for ninth best among qualified SPs– 87th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .276 (91-for-330) against him last season — tied for third worst among qualified SPs– eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .281 against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 85th Percentile. Opponents batted .402 (37-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 20% of the time (79/387) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 59% of the time (287/488) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (40 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .525 (21-for-40) against Michael Grove’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 74% (17/23) against Michael Grove on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 53% — first Percentile.
Michael Grove has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (485/881) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 95th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Blue Jays are 14-9 (.609) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 25-32 (.439) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays are 59-83 (.415) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Dodgers are 28-12 (.700) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Dodgers are 33-15 (.688) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Dodgers are 3-2 (.600) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 175 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .391 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 97 extra-base hits out of 202 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,088 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .767 (4,960 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (1174.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 699 of 9,534 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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