Blue Jays vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Tuesday, July 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Blue Jays vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 56-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 54-45 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 9 -115+115
Dodgers -1.5 +145U 9 -105-135

Blue Jays vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.75 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Will Smith 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
George Springer 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Jason Heyward 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Will Smith 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -140 0.5 +110
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jason Heyward 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Dodgers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Will Smith 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +310 0.5 -450
George Springer 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jason Heyward 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Chris Bassitt 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 95 games (+18.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+15.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 47-54 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -8.09% ROI).

  • 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -4.56% ROI
  • 43-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -13.33% ROI
  • 53-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 4.97% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-45 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 10.08% ROI).

  • 57-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 57-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.5 Units / 15.14% ROI
  • 37-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.1 Units / -23.04% ROI

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .290 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .535 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (167 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .553 (266 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .204 (50-for-245) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 89th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (234/704) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (161/546) against Julio Urias against right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 72% (1,088/1,511) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 (6-for-46) against Julio Urias’ elevated fastball this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 96th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Blue Jays are 14-9 (.609) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

The Blue Jays are 59-83 (.415) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Blue Jays are 25-32 (.439) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Dodgers are 33-15 (.688) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

The Dodgers are 148-26 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Dodgers are 28-13 (.683) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Dodgers are 12-5 (.706) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (8,062 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .429 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Dodgers hitters have 97 extra-base hits out of 202 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,101 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 132 double plays in 1,913 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 116 walks in 1,030 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (10 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Blue Jays have allowed 3.66 runs per game (172/47) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.