Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 11

min read
San Francisco Giants' Michael Conforto against the Texas Rangers during the fourth inning of a baseball game Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 11, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Giants TV Channel: RSN | NSBA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-8, 4.64 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-5, 3.49 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -200O 7.5 -110+105
Giants -1.5 +165U 7.5 -110-125

Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Blue Jays vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -14.6% ROI).

  • 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.85 Units / -12.68% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.54% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.6% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-47 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4% ROI).

  • 45-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
  • 51-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 8.31% ROI
  • 39-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -16.91% ROI

Giants vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Giants vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Gausman (TOR) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Jordan Hicks (SF) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (545/723) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 85 of Kevin Gausman’s 464 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 29% (126 SO in 432 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (945/1,244) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Hicks has thrown 910 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has walked 22 of 162 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has a strike rate of just 58% (938/1,615) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Blue Jays are just 15-65 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Blue Jays are 29-25 (.537) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 8-44 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Blue Jays are just 15-88 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 20-110 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Giants are 39-20 (.661) after a home loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Giants are 166-6 (.965) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,399 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,160 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 140 strikeouts in 755 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,045 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Giants hitters have 1,164 strikeouts in 4,769 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting just .223 with two outs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Giants are batting just .233 on the road since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 247 of 3,715 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 135 of 2,262 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.