- The – are favorites vs the –
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Guardians starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Thursday, August 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Blue Jays vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 65-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 57-58 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Alek Manoah | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.19 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.79 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.58 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+7.28 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 56-60 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- 65-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -2.61% ROI
- 46-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.75 Units / -18.86% ROI
- 64-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.25 Units / 10.42% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 57-58 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.41% ROI).
- 55-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 45-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.15 Units / -21.51% ROI
- 65-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.15 Units / 12.93% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .333 (213 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 19 of 115 batters (17%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 14 of 90 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .183 (123-for-673) against Alek Manoah since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 57 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 47 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 22 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 10 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 16-10 (.615) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 29-37 (.439) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Blue Jays are 10-4 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 27-94 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are just 7-28 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Guardians are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have just 181 strikeouts in 970 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,361 strikeouts in 7,633 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .647 (2,837 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,917 strikeouts in 10,470 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 169 of 2,494 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 117 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 778 of 10,450 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (317.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Guardians pitchers have walked 165 of 2,491 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (535.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
The Guardians have allowed 3.79 runs per game (220/58) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Freeman (Guardians): Shoulder, D10
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Knee, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jordan Romano (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
