• The Guardians are -185 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on September 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Blue Jays are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Blue Jays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-7, 4.84 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 12-7, 3.98 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nathaniel Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.60 Units / 145% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are 123-12 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 188-12 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 66-121 (.353) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting .192 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .225 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters are slugging just .371 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .228 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .668 (1,557 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,265 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,265 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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