Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

Cleveland Guardians catcher Bo Naylor sits near the bullpen during spring training baseball workouts in Goodyear, Ariz., Friday, Feb. 16, 2024.
(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
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  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Blue Jays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
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The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+110) on September 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Blue Jays are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Blue Jays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 9-5, 2.34 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 9-7, 3.72 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +135O 7 +100-135
Guardians +1.5 -165U 7 -120+110

Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kazuma Okamoto +350
Charles McAdoo +500
George Springer +525
Jo Adell +525
Alejandro Kirk +525

Guardians vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ernie Clement 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Steven Kwan 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brett Bateman 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Guardians vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Brett Bateman 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Angel Genao 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays are 110-17 (.866) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 66-121 (.353) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

The Guardians are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .190 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .311 (3,665 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are hitting just .193 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .315 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,265 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,265 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 220 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.