• The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Guardians
• Blue Jays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on September 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Blue Jays are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Blue Jays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 11-7, 3.51 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 5-14, 3.92 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+26.00 Units / 289% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 47% ROI)
• Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
• Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 19-111 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 46-4 (.920) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

The Guardians are 189-12 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have chased 41% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .650 (1,538 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .494 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .372 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .670 (1,571 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,287 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,287 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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