- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 54-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 46-52 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 44 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
| Bryan Woo | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 45-54 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -9.94% ROI).
- 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.25% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 46-52 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -7.4% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 49-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.66% ROI
- 47-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -6.12% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 57% (414/727) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .347 (176 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (9/30) against Alek Manoah’s changeup this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters they faced (94/323 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (4-for-40) against Bryan Woo over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 99th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of 1.254 (48 PA’s) vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .780 — first Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .122 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .222 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .703 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 7-3 (.700) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Blue Jays are 24-32 (.429) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Blue Jays are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 44-41 (.518) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Mariners are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Mariners are 8-107 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 174 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 141 strikeouts in 736 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .357 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Mariners are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Mariners are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 12 of 81 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 257 of 3,638 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 708 of 9,668 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Allen Pollock (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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