• The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 42-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 35-54 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Shane Bieber 0-0, 6.00 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 6-5, 3.41 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games at home (+2.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-44 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -3.24% ROI).

• 42-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -11.96% ROI
• 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -3.1% ROI
• 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -5.07% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 35-54 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -10.75% ROI).

• 45-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -10.07% ROI
• 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.99% ROI

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.

The Blue Jays are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Blue Jays are 18-88 (.170) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are just 8-22 (.267) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (24th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Mariners are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .219 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .207 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .329 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .293 (947 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .622 (947 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,134 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,134 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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