• The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: PEAC | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 42-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 36-54 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 4-3, 3.34 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 5-4, 3.49 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+13.50 Units / 169% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dominic Canzone has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+13.20 Units / 165% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-45 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.54% ROI).

• 42-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -12.74% ROI
• 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -2.04% ROI
• 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -6.14% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 36-54 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -9.22% ROI).

• 46-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -9.14% ROI
• 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -5.24% ROI
• 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.08% ROI

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .366.

The Blue Jays are 6-36 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Blue Jays are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are 18-89 (.168) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are just 9-22 (.290) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (25th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Mariners are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,483 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .186 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .329 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .623 (956 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .294 (956 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,159 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,159 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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