Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (45-39) are -110 favorites vs the Mariners (42-42)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-3), 3.32 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 3.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Blue Jays vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 45-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-41 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-110
Mariners +1.5 -175U 8.5 -105-110

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 85% ROI)

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Santana 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Dylan Moore 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Santana 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Dylan Moore 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Santana 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games (+20.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-49 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -17.11% ROI).

  • 45-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -10.32% ROI
  • 45-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 3.1% ROI
  • 38-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -13.28% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.34% ROI).

  • 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI
  • 40-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -6.46% ROI
  • 42-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.41% ROI

Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (57 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (26/153) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .339 (37 Total Bases / 109 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .546 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (22-for-154) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (61 Total Bases / 114 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 8 of 250 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 38 of George Kirby’s 192 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (74 Total Bases / 101 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .546 — fourth Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .919.

The Blue Jays are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Blue Jays are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .919.

The Mariners are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .669.

The Mariners are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,216 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,421 strikeouts in 7,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 871 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,148 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 858 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.