- The Blue Jays (45-39) are -110 favorites vs the Mariners (42-42)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-3), 3.32 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 3.75 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 45-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-41 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 85% ROI)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Santana | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Santana | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Santana | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games (+20.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-49 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -17.11% ROI).
- 45-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -10.32% ROI
- 45-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 3.1% ROI
- 38-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -13.28% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -6.46% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.41% ROI
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (57 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (26/153) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .339 (37 Total Bases / 109 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .546 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (22-for-154) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (61 Total Bases / 114 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .363 — first Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 8 of 250 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 38 of George Kirby’s 192 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (74 Total Bases / 101 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .546 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .919.
The Blue Jays are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Blue Jays are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .919.
The Mariners are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .669.
The Mariners are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,216 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,421 strikeouts in 7,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 871 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,148 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 858 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day
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