Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (45-40) are -130 favorites vs the Mariners (43-42)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (9-3), 2.33 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (7-6), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Blue Jays vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 45-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-41 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +135O 7.5 -105-130
Mariners +1.5 -160U 7.5 -115+105

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+6.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Carlos Santana 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Dylan Moore 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Carlos Santana 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
Dylan Moore 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Carlos Santana 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Dylan Moore 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray 6.5 -140 6.5 +100
Alek Manoah 5.5 -145 5.5 +100
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+19.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 85% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-50 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -17.92% ROI).

  • 45-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -11.05% ROI
  • 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.99% ROI
  • 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -12.06% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 44-41 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.41% ROI).

  • 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 40-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -7.46% ROI
  • 43-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.32% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .206 (194 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (29-for-180) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .488 (419 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has walked 6 of 194 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.

Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (439/973) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,368/3,249) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (482/925) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (236/475) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays are 36-9 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mariners are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Mariners are just 12-36 (.245) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Mariners are just 3-33 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Mariners are just 7-18 (.269) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,421 strikeouts in 7,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .454 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 871 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,148 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.3).

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.