- The Blue Jays (45-40) are -130 favorites vs the Mariners (43-42)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (9-3), 2.33 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (7-6), 3.62 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 45-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-41 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -130 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+6.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +105 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +100 |
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+19.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 85% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-50 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -17.92% ROI).
- 45-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -11.05% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.99% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -12.06% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 44-41 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.41% ROI).
- 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -7.46% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.32% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .206 (194 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (29-for-180) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .488 (419 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 6 of 194 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (439/973) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,368/3,249) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (482/925) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (236/475) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 36-9 (.783) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Mariners are just 12-36 (.245) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Mariners are just 3-33 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Mariners are just 7-18 (.269) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,421 strikeouts in 7,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .454 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 871 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,148 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.3).
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day
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