Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 16

Seattle Mariners designated hitter Mitch Haniger, left, follows through on a home run against the Cleveland Guardians during the first inning of a spring training baseball game Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024, in Peoria, Ariz. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Blue Jays are 100 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: FS1

The Toronto Blue Jays (100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Thursday, October 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:33pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 98-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 74-93 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 5-5, 5.21 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 170O 7.5 -110100
Mariners +1.5 -210U 7.5 -110-120

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+22.40 Units / 249% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Addison Barger has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.50 Units / 139% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 133 games (+22.89 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 95 of their last 168 games (+22.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 79 of their last 137 games (+22.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 68 of their last 114 games (+16.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 89 of their last 158 games (+17.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games at home (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 95-72 against the Run Line (+21.15 Units / 9.56% ROI).

  • 98-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.69 Units / 8.66% ROI
  • 91-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 6.7% ROI
  • 72-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.45 Units / -14.75% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 74-93 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -8.94% ROI).

  • 95-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 1.44% ROI
  • 92-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.05 Units / 6.99% ROI
  • 72-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.22 Units / -15.59% ROI

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Eugenio Suarez (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Nathan Lukes (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -220
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Scherzer (TOR) 3.5 -155 3.5 +115
Luis Castillo (SEA) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Mariners hitters slugged .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Mariners hitters slugged .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Mariners hitters slugged .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Mariners hitters slugged .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

More MLB Reading:


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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.