- The Blue Jays are -115 favorites vs the Mariners
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: FS1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Friday, October 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:08pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 99-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 74-94 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 11-12, 3.54 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 5-6, 5.42 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 155 | O 7 100 | -115 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 7 -120 | -105 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 106% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.50 Units / 115% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 134 games (+24.04 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 169 games (+23.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 138 games (+23.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 69 of their last 115 games (+17.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 159 games (+18.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games at home (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 96-72 against the Run Line (+22.15 Units / 9.92% ROI).
- 99-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.84 Units / 9.15% ROI
- 92-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 7.2% ROI
- 72-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.55 Units / -15.25% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 74-94 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -9.39% ROI).
- 95-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 93-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.05 Units / 7.48% ROI
- 72-93 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.32 Units / -16.09% ROI
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted .193 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Mariners have gone OVER in 67% of their games (27.6% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (fourth in runs scored).
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted .193 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Mariners have gone OVER in 67% of their games (27.6% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (fourth in runs scored).
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted .193 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Mariners have gone OVER in 67% of their games (27.6% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (fourth in runs scored).
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted .193 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Mariners have gone OVER in 67% of their games (27.6% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (fourth in runs scored).
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
