Mariners vs. Blue Jays: Wild Card Series Prediction & Odds

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Seattle Mariners, including, from left, Adam Frazier, Eugenio Suarez, Curt Casali, and Diego Castillo, celebrate a 9-6 win in the second game of a baseball doubleheader against the Detroit Tigers, Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2022, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
Rachael Millanta @rachaelmillanta Oct 06, 2022, 1:00 PM
  • The MLB postseason includes four rounds, beginning with the Wild Card Series.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Seattle Mariners for a three-game series.
  • The Wild Card Series is Oct. 7-9, 2022.
  • The winner of this series will advance to the ALDS and face the Houston Astros.

With the MLB regular season now complete, the first round of the playoffs, the Wild Card Series, will kick off on Friday, Oct. 7. Under the new postseason format, 12 teams advance to the playoffs — three division winners and three Wild Card teams from each league. The top two division winners from each league receive a bye in the first round.

In the AL, the Mariners will take on the Blue Jays for a three-game Wild Card Series at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The winner of this matchup will advance to the AL Division Series to face the Houston Astros.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Series Schedule

GAMEDATETIME
Game 1Friday, Oct. 74:07 p.m. ET
Game 2Saturday, Oct. 84:07 p.m. ET
Game 3Sunday, Oct. 92:07 p.m. ET

Odds to Win AL Wild Card Series (as of Oct. 6):

  • Blue Jays -165 to win
  • Mariners +140 to win

Total Series Games Over/Under (as of Oct. 6):

  • Over 2.5 (-105)
  • Under 2.5 (-115)

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Series Prediction

I predict the Mariners will win the Wild Card Series against the Blue Jays in three games. 

As you can see from the odds above, the Mariners are not going into this series as the favorite, but I still think they can pull out two wins to advance. This is Seattle’s first time in the postseason since 2002, and if ending a 20-year playoff drought isn’t enough motivation to bring your A-game, I don’t know what is. 

The Blue Jays had a great start to the season, a shaky middle, and great end. After a pretty dreadful losing streak in July, the team fired their manager Charlie Montoyo. Bench coach John Schneider stepped up to lead Toronto for the rest of the season, and after a brief period of settling in, the team pulled themselves together enough to finish second in the AL East.

 

With a regular-season record of 90-72, the Mariners have advanced to the Wild Card Series just one spot below the Blue Jays, who ended the season on 92-70. 

Throughout the year, the Blue Jays and Mariners met seven times and the Mariners won five games, including one at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays recorded two wins at home but were swept in a four-game series in Seattle. 

I think this will be one of the most competitive Wild Card Series matchups, likely to go to three games before a team records two wins. My pick is Seattle, but I’m excited to see these two teams battle it out from the first pitch. I’ll be shocked if it isn’t a close series.

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record — Regular Season

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-89 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -12% ROI).

  • 91-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -5.74% ROI
  • 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.86% ROI
  • 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -8.55% ROI

Blue Jays Over/Under Record

In the 2022 regular season, the Blue Jays hit the over 83 times, the under 75 times, and pushed 4.

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record — Regular Season

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 83-78 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • 89-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.47% ROI
  • 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -6.56% ROI
  • 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -0.87% ROI

Mariners Over/Under Record

In the 2022 regular season, the Mariners hit the over 75 times, the under 79 times, and pushed 8.

MLB Odds at BetMGM

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About the Author

Rachael Millanta

Read More @rachaelmillanta

Rachael Millanta is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM focusing on Major League Baseball. Her work has been published in SB Nation, McSweeney’s Internet Tendency and Slackjaw Humor. Originally from Sydney, Australia, Rachael now resides in Chicago, Illinois.

Rachael Millanta is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM focusing on Major League Baseball. Her work has been published in SB Nation, McSweeney’s Internet Tendency and Slackjaw Humor. Originally from Sydney, Australia, Rachael now resides in Chicago, Illinois.