- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Blue Jays vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 39-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 36-37 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 38 games (+21.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+15.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 91% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+13.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Marlins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
| Eury Perez | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+1.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 33-41 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -12.7% ROI).
- 39-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -6.56% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.91% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 36-37 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 13.33% ROI
- 33-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 38-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 2.24% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .507 (142 Total Bases / 280 ABs) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — second Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (94 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .821 (96 Total Bases / 117 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .561 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of .830 (305 PA’s) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — fifth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eury Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .096 (5 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Eury Perez has not allowed a hit to any of the last 34 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Eury Perez has allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .313 — 95th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw allowed an OBP of just .229 (411 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Blue Jays are 19-25 (.432) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays are 53-76 (.411) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Blue Jays are 95-8 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Marlins are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Marlins are just 10-53 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Marlins are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Marlins are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 341 strikeouts in 1,781 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 91 strikeouts in 528 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have 30 extra-base hits out of 120 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have 189 extra-base hits out of 641 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3 of 113 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Jean Segura (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hand, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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