- The – are favorites vs the –
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Blue Jays vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 40-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 36-38 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 39 games (+22.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+16.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+14.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.35 Units / 79% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Marlins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 34-41 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -11.38% ROI).
- 40-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.2% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.3% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 36-38 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -10.34% ROI).
- 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 11.83% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -11.96% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 3.44% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .104 (22-for-211) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .123 (26 Total Bases / 211 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (593/776) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .129 (24 Total Bases / 186 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (439/609) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 7.71 (25.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.80 — third Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (1,466/2,029) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (49/88) against Sandy Alcantara in two-strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Blue Jays are 54-76 (.415) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 16-16 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Marlins are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Marlins are just 77-18 (.811) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Marlins are just 30-22 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Marlins are just 8-8 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 343 strikeouts in 1,786 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have grounded into 80 double plays in 532 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,945 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 5 of 209 batters (2%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Jean Segura (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hand, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Thumb, Day-to-Day
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