Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 02, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
  • Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Blue Jays vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 30-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 22-35 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+110
Mets -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-135

Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Mark Canha 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +500 0.5 -900

Mets vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Mark Canha 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Mets vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Mark Canha 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Mets vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Verlander 5.5 -105 5.5 -120
Chris Bassitt 4.5 -110 4.5 -115
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 away games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 28-29 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.51% ROI).

  • 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -7.81% ROI
  • 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -3.62% ROI
  • 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.73% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 22-35 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -22.67% ROI).

  • 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -12.63% ROI
  • 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -11.53% ROI
  • 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 2.74% ROI

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .252 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .573 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .228 (145 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .153 (20-for-131) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (63 Total Bases / 110 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — third Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .530 (787 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .707 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .234 (786 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 99th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .235 (281 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 98th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .221 (517 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Blue Jays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Blue Jays are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Blue Jays are 46-70 (.397) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Blue Jays are 89-7 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .877.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mets are 115-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Mets are 26-19 (.578) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

The Mets are 23-1 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Mets are 41-19 (.683) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Blue Jays hitters have just 328 strikeouts in 1,695 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 103 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Mets hitters have just 515 strikeouts in 2,616 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have chased just 18% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Mets hitters have just 1,125 strikeouts in 5,742 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .355 (979 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 116 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.10 (232.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 30 of 225 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
  • Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
  • Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
  • Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.