- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 31-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 22-36 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+14.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+9.85 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Mets vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 29-29 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -3.1% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 22-36 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -23.74% ROI).
- 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -13.93% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -12.91% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.26% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios walked 5 of 23 batters (22%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 60% of the time (162/269) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .317 (13-for-41) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — sixth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 60% of the time (162/269) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (16-for-32) against Tylor Megill’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (28 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (406/712) in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 55% (93/168) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Blue Jays are 14-14 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 48-70 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 106-25 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Blue Jays are 91-7 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mets are 116-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets are 48-15 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Mets are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 103 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 78 strikeouts in 442 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 328 strikeouts in 1,695 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,134 strikeouts in 5,773 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 134 strikeouts in 694 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .261 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,463 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 116 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 34 of 242 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
