- The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 32-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-36 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+10.05 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Mets vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 29-30 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.34% ROI).
- 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -6.85% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.52% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 23-36 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -21.91% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -14.91% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -14.44% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 5.75% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Blue Jays are 49-70 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are 62-53 (.539) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Blue Jays are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mets are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mets are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Mets are 30-14 (.682) after a home loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Mets are 116-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 328 strikeouts in 1,695 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .745 (5,773 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Mets are batting .261 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets hitters have put 41% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 34 of 242 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.10 (232.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 116 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
