• The Nationals are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Nationals TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NATV

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-135) on July 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Blue Jays are 48-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 64-40 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-4, 10.56 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Andrew Alvarez 2-3, 4.25 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+12.90 Units / 161% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Max Scherzer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-56 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -8.93% ROI).

• 48-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -15.98% ROI
• 53-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.41% ROI
• 50-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.65% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 64-40 against the Run Line (+16.9 Units / 11.79% ROI).

• 54-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 10.23% ROI
• 59-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.25 Units / 11.36% ROI
• 42-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.6 Units / -19.37% ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Blue Jays are just 5-40 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are just 9-27 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

The Blue Jays are just 5-40 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Nationals are just 44-12 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Nationals are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Nationals are just 22-32 (.407) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Nationals are 45-10 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have 199 extra-base hits out of 655 total hits (just 30%) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .447 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .799 (1,244 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .567 (2,138 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,564 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .238 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,564 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.37 (493.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.96 runs per game (322/54) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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