• The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
• Blue Jays vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Nationals TV Channel: RSN | NATV

The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+100) on July 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Blue Jays are 49-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 65-41 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 4-5, 3.94 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 7-8, 5.19 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+15.85 Units / 176% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jorbit Vivas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.45 Units / 77% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+13.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 50-57 against the Run Line (-13 Units / -9.17% ROI).

• 49-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.15 Units / -15.7% ROI
• 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.47% ROI
• 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -6.69% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 65-41 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 11.93% ROI).

• 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 9.78% ROI
• 60-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.15 Units / 11.08% ROI
• 43-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -19.17% ROI

Nationals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Blue Jays are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.

The Blue Jays are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Blue Jays are just 9-28 (.243) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Nationals are just 23-33 (.411) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Nationals are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Nationals are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Nationals are 45-11 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .638 (1,097 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .849 (964 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .446 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .776 (4,185 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored first in 71% of their road games this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 185 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,611 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 1.86 runs per game (201/108) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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