Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Blue Jays (60-50) are -150 favorites vs the Orioles (58-52)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (8-4), 5.18 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (4-3), 3.43 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 60-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 72-38 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +105O 9 -120-150
Orioles +1.5 -130U 9 +100+125

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 46 away games (+18.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 away games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 games (+17.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games at home (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 31 games at home (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games at home (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Anthony Santander 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Austin Hays 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Anthony Santander 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Austin Hays 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Cedric Mullins 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dean Kremer 3.5 +115 3.5 -165
Jose Berrios 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+21.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 90 games (+28.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 90 games (+28.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-62 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -14.04% ROI).

  • 60-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.95 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -9.65% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 72-38 against the Run Line (+27.05 Units / 18.73% ROI).

  • 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.1 Units / 20.7% ROI
  • 52-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.96% ROI
  • 53-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.46% ROI

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (57 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .377 (29-for-77) against Jose Berrios on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.69 — third Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 70% (636/907) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.

Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (56/181) against Dean Kremer this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .279 (62-for-222) against Dean Kremer this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .243 — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .309 (30-for-97) against Dean Kremer’s curve and slider this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .224 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (22/77) against Dean Kremer on breaking pitches this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 34-21 (.618) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Blue Jays are 51-3 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Orioles are 27-6 (.818) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Orioles are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Orioles are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .667 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have 333 strikeouts in 1,319 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 763 of 10,006 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 290 of 4,090 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.89 (1076.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.