- The Blue Jays are +100 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 69-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 77-47 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.95 Units / 77% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+10.35 Units / 148% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 100 games (+18.94 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.34 Units / 8% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 111 games (+27.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+6.54 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 59-66 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- 69-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 50-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.15 Units / -18.54% ROI
- 69-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.75 Units / 10.01% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 77-47 against the Run Line (+26.1 Units / 16.08% ROI).
- 77-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.3 Units / 19.06% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 4.73% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -12.85% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (116 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OBP of just .174 (46 PA’s) over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 39% (20 SO in 52 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
11 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 9th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 86th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .353 — 0 Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.032 (32 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .605 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (21/37) against Grayson Rodriguez over the last 14 days (2 games) — 4th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (70/95) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Blue Jays are 161-125 (.563) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 52-40 (.565) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Orioles are 30-17 (.638) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 12-4 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 449 strikeouts in 2,301 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .347 (1,048 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Blue Jays are batting .275 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 28-13 (.683) against the run line (25.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are 175-108 (.614) against the run line (14.5% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Orioles on 49% of their plate appearances this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.. *
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 804 of 10,770 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (1115.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (540.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .173 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 266 of 3,958 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Santander (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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