- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 70-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 77-48 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -110 | -135 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -110 | +110 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 101 games (+17.94 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.04 Units / 43% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 112 games (+26.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+6.54 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-66 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -4.36% ROI).
- 70-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 51-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.15 Units / -17.67% ROI
- 69-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.6 Units / 9.1% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 77-48 against the Run Line (+25.1 Units / 15.37% ROI).
- 77-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.2 Units / 18.22% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 5.43% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -13.58% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .335 (355 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .502 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .173 (353 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .414 (89-for-215) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .173 (52 Total Bases / 300 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 37 of 201 batters (18%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 45 of 262 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed three-ball counts to 23% of batters they faced (164/718 PA’s) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .463 (201 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Blue Jays are 31-42 (.425) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 52-40 (.565) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 15-7 (.682) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Orioles are 30-17 (.638) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .347 (1,049 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 175-109 (.612) against the run line (14.1% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 28-13 (.683) against the run line (25.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are batting .383 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Orioles hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .173 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 174 of 2,562 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Orioles): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Santander (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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