- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Thursday, August 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 70-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 78-48 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -120 | -110 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 9 +100 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 102 games (+18.94 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.34 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 113 games (+27.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+7.79 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-67 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -4.96% ROI).
- 70-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -4.2% ROI
- 51-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.2 Units / -18.29% ROI
- 70-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 9.74% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 78-48 against the Run Line (+26.1 Units / 15.84% ROI).
- 78-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.35 Units / 18.84% ROI
- 63-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 4.62% ROI
- 52-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.7 Units / -12.74% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .215 against Jose Berrios vs right-handed batters this season — tied for ninth best among qualified SPs– 86th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .276 (91-for-330) against him last season — tied for third worst among qualified SPs– eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .270 against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile. Opponents batted .402 (37-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 12 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 55% of the time (273/495) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .271 (157-for-579) against Kyle Gibson this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 14th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .202 (56-for-277) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents batted .364 (47-for-129) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% (229/463) against Kyle Gibson this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Blue Jays are 65-94 (.409) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Blue Jays are 31-43 (.419) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 31-17 (.646) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 40-24 (.625) after a home loss since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Orioles are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 450 strikeouts in 2,302 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 256 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 28-13 (.683) against the run line (25.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Orioles are 17-5 (.773) against the run line (45.3% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Orioles hitters have drawn 130 walks in 1,365 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 175 of 2,592 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .171 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have walked 7 of 186 batters (4%) over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 174 of 2,571 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Orioles): General soreness, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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