- The Blue Jays (60-48) are -145 favorites vs the Orioles (56-52)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (4-5), 4.86 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (8-8), 4.40 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 60-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-38 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | O 9 +100 | -145 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -120 | +120 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 44 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 44 away games (+16.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 64 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 45 games at home (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+21.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 88 games (+26.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 88 games (+25.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 85 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-60 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -12.7% ROI).
- 60-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -8.72% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -7.92% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 70-38 against the Run Line (+25.05 Units / 17.67% ROI).
- 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.5 Units / 18.79% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.62% ROI
Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 39 of 270 right-handed batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 22 of 129 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of 1.520 (176 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 1.061 — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.9 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (134 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 88.0
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (105 Total Bases / 252 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .713 (277 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .477 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .234 (59-for-252) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Jordan Lyles’ non-fastballs (244/622) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 51-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Blue Jays are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 10-45 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Orioles are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Orioles are 6-44 (.120) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Orioles are 26-6 (.812) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .454 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,409 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .451 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 329 strikeouts in 1,297 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 36% on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles are batting just .226 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 757 of 9,935 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 284 of 4,019 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have won just just 15% of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
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