Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (60-49) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (57-52)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (12-5), 2.45 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 6.55 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 60-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 71-38 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +105O 8.5 -105-155
Orioles +1.5 -125U 8.5 -115+125

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 away games (+17.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 45 away games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 65 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 30 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 46 games at home (+15.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Robinson Chirinos has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Anthony Santander 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Austin Hays 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Anthony Santander 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Austin Hays 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Ramon Urias 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Austin Hays 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +275 0.5 -450

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 +120 5.5 -165
Kyle Bradish 3.5 -175 3.5 +125
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 67 games (+22.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 89 games (+27.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 89 games (+26.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-61 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -13.36% ROI).

  • 60-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.18% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -8.83% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-38 against the Run Line (+26.05 Units / 18.19% ROI).

  • 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.6 Units / 19.58% ROI
  • 51-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
  • 53-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.59% ROI

Right-handed batters are hitting just .166 (38-for-229) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .221 (249 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (69-for-428) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a BABIP of .213 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has allowed a BABIP of .380 this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .319 (72-for-226) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (119 Total Bases / 226 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .395 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched — Chris Bassitt has the longest active streak at 20.1.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Blue Jays are 51-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Blue Jays are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Blue Jays are 145-15 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Orioles are 10-45 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 26-6 (.812) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Orioles are 32-21 (.604) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Blue Jays are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

The Blue Jays are batting .272 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Orioles hitters have 333 strikeouts in 1,319 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have drawn 251 walks in 3,390 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have won just 61% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 288 of 4,052 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.90 (1067.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.