- The Blue Jays are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 63-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 45-59 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 11-4, 3.89 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 6-5, 5.78 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -115 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -180 | U 9.5 -105 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+8.75 Units / 219% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.04 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 105 games (+21.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.83 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+11.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 64-41 against the Run Line (+20.9 Units / 14.49% ROI).
- 63-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.84 Units / 13.81% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 4.07% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -11.93% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-59 against the Run Line (-19.36 Units / -14.31% ROI).
- 47-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -13.86% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.18 Units / -14.91% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.63 Units / 6.58% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Loperfido (TOR) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .475 (48 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has not walked a batter in his last 19.2 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Chris Bassitt’s has 13 strikeouts and no walks in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (15/77) against Chris Bassitt’s breaking pitches this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (108 Total Bases / 164 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 0 Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .368 (42-for-114) against Zach Eflin this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Zach Eflin walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 50-12 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Blue Jays are 19-2 (.905) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays are 21-7 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Blue Jays are 63-43 (.594) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 0-53 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Orioles are just 41-7 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Orioles are just 2-114 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Orioles are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,097 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Orioles hitters are slugging .393 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,052 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 7% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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