Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Blue Jays are 63-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 48-59 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 7-4, 3.82 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 8-7, 4.28 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +155O 9.5 -102+100
Orioles +1.5 -190U 9.5 -118-120

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Loperfido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.90 Units / 224% ROI)
  • Addison Barger has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+22.50 Units / 281% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.69 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 108 games (+18.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+15.58 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 103 games (+10.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 64-44 against the Run Line (+17.05 Units / 11.52% ROI).

  • 63-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.49 Units / 10.94% ROI
  • 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 4.71% ROI
  • 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -12.64% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 48-59 against the Run Line (-15.76 Units / -11.3% ROI).

  • 50-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -11.18% ROI
  • 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.28 Units / -13.74% ROI
  • 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.38 Units / 5.35% ROI

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 +260 0.5 -325
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Cedric Mullins (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Joey Loperfido (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios (TOR) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Dean Kremer (BAL) 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (30/176) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (41 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — 11th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a in-zone of just 53% (213/401) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 59% — fifth Percentile.

50% of Jose Berrios’ fastball strikeouts are located inside this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .256 (42-for-164) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 10th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (338/507) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (40/96) against Dean Kremer in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 61% (24/39) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 45-3 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Blue Jays are 50-13 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Blue Jays are 50-3 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Blue Jays are just 117-9 (.929) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .958.

The Orioles are just 0-53 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.

The Orioles are 134-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Orioles are just 2-114 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.