- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Toronto Blue Jays (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 37-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 40-25 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+16.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Chris Bassitt | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 32-35 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.72% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.03% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.95% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 40-25 against the Run Line (+13.55 Units / 16.43% ROI).
- 41-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 19.03% ROI
- 32-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.84% ROI
- 29-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -8.4% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (26-for-167) against Chris Bassitt this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .234 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .539 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .215 (181 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 95th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (39 Total Bases / 167 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .594 (41 Total Bases / 69 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .538 (21-for-39) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (27/85) against Dean Kremer in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 21% (16 SO in 77 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — sixth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 51-73 (.411) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 17-22 (.436) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 13-16 (.448) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Orioles are 9-3 (.750) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 20-12 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have just 335 strikeouts in 1,731 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles are batting .404 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Orioles pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
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