- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Wednesday, June 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 37-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-25 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -120 | -110 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 9 +100 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 away games (+17.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+15.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games (+18.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.28% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -3.44% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 41-25 against the Run Line (+14.55 Units / 17.33% ROI).
- 42-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.2 Units / 20.03% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -9.84% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .339 (100-for-295) against Kyle Bradish since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (28/79) against Kyle Bradish over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (42/129) against Kyle Bradish on pitches in the strike zone this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (29/92) against Kyle Bradish on non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 16-15 (.516) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are 51-73 (.411) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 17-22 (.436) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 19-86 (.181) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Orioles are 90-5 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Orioles are 13-16 (.448) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 335 strikeouts in 1,739 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .971 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 25 of 481 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .162 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Orioles have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 8 of 229 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
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