- The – are favorites vs the –
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles () on Thursday, June 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 38-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-26 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Orioles | U |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+16.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+14.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan McKenna | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 away games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 64 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 66% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 33-36 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -5% ROI).
- 38-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.21% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -2.09% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 41-26 against the Run Line (+12.9 Units / 15.07% ROI).
- 42-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 18.58% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -8.36% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (47 Total Bases / 75 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .855 (94 Total Bases / 110 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .559 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (213 Total Bases / 272 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .558 — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of .852 (239 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .155 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .213 (155 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .225 (289 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has thrown fastballs up 74% of the time (342/460) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 52-73 (.416) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Blue Jays are 34-7 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Blue Jays are 44-36 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 9-3 (.750) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Orioles are 17-7 (.708) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 8-4 (.667) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 115 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 85 strikeouts in 489 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (1,742 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .233 (4,600 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles hitters are slugging .861 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 22 of 477 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 10 of 222 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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