• The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on May 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Blue Jays are 27-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 26-30 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 2-1, 3.89 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 4-3, 5.48 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+24.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Tyler Heineman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 99% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.90 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.50 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 28-28 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.85% ROI).

• 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -13.18% ROI
• 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -9.17% ROI
• 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 1.22% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 26-30 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -6.75% ROI).

• 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -11.49% ROI
• 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 8.89% ROI
• 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -18% ROI

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Blue Jays are 19-73 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

The Blue Jays are 16-76 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Blue Jays are 87-9 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 5-25 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Orioles are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 22-54 (.289) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .212 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .335 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .633 (558 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .208 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,318 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,318 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers put just 34% of their swings in play this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 65 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.26 (141.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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